Young US college graduates face employment crisis

By AFP

Young US college graduates face employment crisis

The US is the most expensive country in the world for a university education, with an average cost of US$27,673 per year. (Harvard University pic)WASHINGTON: Over two years, Rebecca Atkins filed more than 250 job applications, and felt like every one was going into a gaping chasm 鈥 one opened by the highest unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the US in more than a decade.鈥淚t was extremely dispiriting,鈥 said the 25-year-old, who graduated in 2022 with a degree in law and justice from a university in the US capital Washington. 鈥淚 was convinced that I was a terrible person, and terrible at working.鈥滱t 5.8% unemployment for young, recent graduates from US universities is higher than it has been since November 2013, excluding 15 months in the Covid pandemic, according to official data.Moreover, it has also remained stubbornly higher than overall unemployment 鈥 an extremely unusual situation, analysts say.And while overall US unemployment has stabilized between around 3.5 and 4% post-pandemic, unemployment for recent college graduates is only trending higher.The labour market for new grads has weakened consistently since 2022, with new hiring down 16% in 2025, year-over-year, according to payroll firm Gusto.Analysts say the trend is likely a result of cyclical post-pandemic hiring slowdowns 鈥 particularly in new-grad-heavy sectors like technology, finance, and business information 鈥 and overall economic uncertainty in the tumultuous early days of the Trump administration.That is scant consolation to the droves of young people 鈥 often saddled with huge amounts of student debt 鈥 on the hunt for their first full-time job.鈥淎ll of the jobs that I wanted, I didn鈥檛 have the requirements for 鈥 often entry-level jobs would require you to have four or five years of experience,鈥 said Atkins, who bounced between part-time roles and working in restaurants for years.鈥楨xtremely high uncertainty鈥欌淚t is definitely an outlier,鈥 said Matthew Martin, senior US economist at Oxford Economics. 鈥淵ou鈥檇 expect that the white collar positions would not be as exposed to cyclical downturns (as other jobs).鈥滼ob openings for professional and business services have declined by more than 40% since 2021, according to research authored by Martin, with tech sector jobs disproportionately impacted.鈥淧art of that is a slower pace of hiring as they right-size after they hired at very high rates in 2022, but at the same time the sheer volume of decline also points to the impact of AI,鈥 he told AFP, signaling the potential of artificial intelligence technology to eliminate some entry-level roles.Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, said slowing tech sector hiring as companies focus on holding on to their talent 鈥渄isproportionately鈥 affects recent graduates.The hiring slowdown is also a result of US President Donald Trump鈥檚 far-reaching policy swings since taking office in January, said Daco.鈥淭he experience of extremely high uncertainty when it comes to the administration鈥檚 trade, tax or other policies has caused many firms to potentially slow down or freeze their hiring.鈥滺e cautioned, however, against jumping to the conclusion that AI had already begun to eliminate entry-level roles, pointing to a so-far limited uptake of the technology by most sectors.鈥淭he reality is that a lot of firms are still in the early stages of adoption of these new technologies, and I think it would be a bit premature to assume that we鈥檝e reached a level of use鈥 that would have a visible macro impact.鈥濃楥onstantly working鈥橳he US is perhaps the most expensive country in the world for a university education, with an average cost of US$27,673 per year for an undergraduate degree, according to official data.In 2020, 36.3% of US undergraduates took on federal student loans to help meet those spiraling costs, the data shows, with the Education Data Initiative putting average student loan debt for graduating students at US$29,550.Even without student loan debt, however, the weakening job market can leave some recent graduates feeling like they are stretched thin.Katie Bremer, 25, graduated from American University with a dual-degree in environmental science and public health in 2021.It took her more than a year to find a full-time job 鈥 one not in her field 鈥 and even then, she had to supplement her income by babysitting.鈥淚 felt like I was constantly working,鈥 she told AFP.鈥淚t seems overwhelming, looking at the costs, to try and make your salary stretch all the way to cover all the milestones you鈥檙e supposed to reach in young adulthood.鈥漈here is little hope on the immediate horizon, with analysts warning that it will likely take some time for the labour market to resolve itself, with part of that adjustment likely seeing students picking different majors.鈥淚t鈥檚 likely to get worse before it gets better,鈥 said Martin.Looking at her peers, many of whom are saddled with huge debt and struggled to find work, Bremer says she worries for their collective long-term future.鈥淭here have been times where I鈥檝e thought 鈥榟ow is my generation going to make this work?’鈥

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