By Martha McHardy
President Donald Trump is gaining unexpected ground with Hispanic voters ahead of the 2026 midterms, according to new polling that shows his support ticking up among a group that has traditionally leaned Democratic.The latest YouGov/Yahoo poll, conducted between June 26 and 30 among 1,597 adults, shows that Trump’s net approval rating among Hispanic voters stands at -30 points, with 32 percent approving and 62 percent disapproving.That is up from a net approval of -37 points in May, when 26 percent approved and 63 percent disapproved.Why It MattersSince at least the 1960s, Hispanic voters in the U.S. have generally supported Democratic candidates. According to Pew Research Center, about 66 percent of Hispanic voters supported Barack Obama in 2012, and 65 percent supported Hillary Clinton in 2016. In 2020, 63 percent of Hispanic voters supported Joe Biden, according to AP VoteCast.In 2024, Democrats saw their lead among the group cut substantially, with 55 percent supporting Kamala Harris and 43 percent supporting Trump鈥攁n 8-point increase from 2020 and the highest percentage for a Republican presidential candidate since such data has been tracked.The recent YouGov/Yahoo poll shows that Trump maintains his support among Hispanic voters.What To KnowTrump’s gains with Hispanic voters stand in sharp contrast to his slipping support among other key demographic groups. Across most other segments, the president’s approval ratings fell in June.The most striking drop was among Black voters, where his net approval plunged from -49 points to -70. Among Gen Z voters, his net rating also deteriorated sharply, falling from -23 points in May to -41 points in June.These trends reflect national polling that shows Trump’s overall approval rating hitting an all-time low for his second term.The latest ActiVote survey, conducted June 1 to 30 among 523 adults, found Trump’s national approval at 45 percent and disapproval at 52 percent鈥攑utting his net approval at -7 points, his worst showing since returning to office.Despite this record low for his second term, Trump’s current approval still outpaces his own first-term average, which ActiVote tracked at 41 percent. It also remains slightly higher than former President Joe Biden’s full-term average of 41 percent and Biden’s final-year average of 40 percent.A separate survey by Targoz Market Research and Overton Insights, conducted June 23 to 26 among 1,200 registered voters, put Trump’s net approval even deeper underwater at -11 points鈥攚ith 43 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving. That’s a noticeable drop from a -5 net approval rating in March.Meanwhile, in the YouGov/Yahoo poll, Trump’s net approval dropped from -13 points in May鈥攚hen 41 percent approved and 54 percent disapproved鈥攖o -16 points, with 40 percent approving and 56 percent disapproving.A few outliers offer Trump a silver lining. An RMG Research poll from June 18 to 26 showed the president still slightly above water, with a net approval of +4 points (51 percent approve, 47 percent disapprove)鈥攖hough that, too, was down from +7 previously.Some polls also suggest Trump’s approval rating has ticked up slightly after a period of steady decline, underscoring how divided鈥攁nd volatile鈥攙oter sentiment is in his second term.Newsweek’s tracker puts Trump’s approval at 45 percent, with 51 percent disapproving, giving him a net approval of -6 points. That marks an improvement from the end of last week, when his net approval rating sank to an all-time low of -10 points.The latest Navigator Research poll, conducted June 26 to 30, found Trump at 45 percent approval and 53 percent disapproval鈥攁 slight recovery from early June, when he hit a record low for this term at 43 percent approval and 55 percent disapproval. A YouGov/Economist survey from June 27 to 30 showed a modest uptick to 42 percent approval and 53 percent disapproval, up from a low of 40 percent earlier in the month.
June 30-July 2
YouGov/Yahoo
Navigator Research
YouGov/Economist
Morning Consult
RMG Research
The Tyson Group
Similarly, Morning Consult’s June 27 to 29 poll found 47 percent of respondents approved of Trump’s job performance, with 50 percent disapproving鈥攁 slight improvement from May’s 45 percent approval and 53 percent disapproval.A Marist/NPR/PBS poll conducted June 23 to 25 put Trump’s approval at 43 percent and disapproval at 52 percent, a tick up from April’s low of 42 percent approval and 53 percent disapproval.Meanwhile, the latest Quantus Insights poll, conducted June 30 to July 2 among 1,000 registered voters, showed Trump’s net approval at -2 points, with 47 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving鈥攔elatively unchanged from previous Quantus polls.What Happens NextTrump’s approval ratings are likely to fluctuate in the coming weeks.