Kenya protests turn deadly as analyst warns of misinformation, political infiltration and policy failure

By Winifred Lartey

Kenya protests turn deadly as analyst warns of misinformation, political infiltration and policy failure

Kenya is reeling from a deadly wave of protests as police crackdowns and rising public discontent clash on the streets of Nairobi and beyond.

Speaking on the Asaase Breakfast Show on Monday (30 June), Dismas K. Mokua, a presidential political analyst in Kenya, provided a sobering account of the complex interplay between constitutional rights, youth activism, misinformation, and the government鈥檚 missteps in communication and policy rollout.

Mokua began by grounding the discussion in Kenya鈥檚 2010 constitution, which guarantees freedoms of expression, movement, and association.

These constitutional protections, he said, have emboldened citizens, especially the youth, to voice concerns about governance and policy decisions. 鈥淲hat we have witnessed in the recent past is a number of Kenyans expressing their views on topical issues around governance and policy execution,鈥 he explained.

The analyst cited the controversial Finance Bill introduced last year, which drew national backlash for provisions deemed oppressive. Although the administration later withdrew some of the more contentious clauses, Mokua noted that the damage had already been done.

鈥淭he environment was already held hostage by misinformation and disinformation,鈥 he said, adding that protests continued, both as an expression of ongoing dissatisfaction and as a remembrance for those who lost their lives during last year鈥檚 demonstrations.

This year鈥檚 protests have turned bloody. According to Mokua, the demonstrations were marred by violence, including reported shootings, hospitalisations, and destruction of property. He stressed that criminal elements infiltrated the protests, attacking police stations, looting businesses, and even setting court buildings ablaze.

鈥淲e鈥檙e seeing two kinds of protestors,鈥 Mokua said. 鈥淭here are those with genuine concerns about structural issues in Kenya, and then there are political goons鈥攈ired by politicians鈥攚hose actions are discrediting the legitimacy of peaceful demonstrations.鈥

One of the more troubling developments has been the death of 31-year-old blogger Albert Ujuang, who allegedly died in police custody after being arrested for a post implicating a senior police official in corruption. Mokua clarified that Ujuang鈥檚 death was not directly linked to the protests but nonetheless sparked outrage due to suspicions of abuse and lack of transparency.

鈥淣o one has seen the actual post, yet a complaint was made by the Deputy Inspector General of Police,鈥 Mokua explained. 鈥淎fter Ujuang was arrested and transported to Nairobi, nobody seems to know when he died. The official report claims he died in custody, and several officers have been arraigned in court and face murder charges.鈥

The analyst also addressed the government鈥檚 controversial labelling of protestors as 鈥渢errorists鈥 or coup plotters鈥攁n approach he warned could have damaging consequences. 鈥淯sing blanket terms like terrorism does not sit well with Kenya鈥檚 reputation or with the constitutional right to protest,鈥 he said. Instead, he advocated for precision targeting of bad actors through criminal intelligence, while protecting the right of peaceful demonstrators.

When asked about the so-called 鈥渟hoot-to-kill鈥 order that drew condemnation from opposition leader Raila Odinga, Mokua offered a nuanced view. While the Cabinet Secretary responsible for Interior, Kipchumba Murkomen, was quoted instructing police to shoot violent protesters, he later clarified he was referencing police standing orders allowing use of force only when lives are threatened.

Mokua aligned with the constitution鈥檚 stance that law enforcement must arrest and charge suspects through due process. 鈥淚f you shoot to kill, it makes police judge and executioner, which is unconstitutional,鈥 he said.

He attributed much of the unrest to a breakdown in policy communication from the Kenya Kwanza administration. 鈥淭hey have implemented commendable initiatives, but citizens haven鈥檛 been effectively informed or engaged. People don鈥檛 understand the rationale behind many government actions, which fuels suspicion and unrest.鈥

He praised Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi for offering clarity through a recent diplomatic briefing that helped reframe the protests within acceptable civil norms. However, he stressed that such efforts must be adopted more broadly across the government and security apparatus.

Mokua called for a more structured dialogue between government and citizens. 鈥淟eadership must not be condescending. Respecting and communicating with citizens is critical. When people understand the logic behind government action, they are more likely to support it.鈥

鈥淎ll you need to do is have a round table conversation鈥 place expectations on the table, and execute areas of mutual interest,鈥 Mokua advised. 鈥淎nything you do must serve the interests and aspirations of the citizenry.鈥

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